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Politics

Updated 5 min ago

360,050 active this week · 17 scored · 0 with a likely real edge

How the 17 scored Politics wallets split · click a tier to filter+ 360,033 too early

Of the 40 most profitable Politics wallets this week, 6 are scored. Of those, none show a likely real edge. The rest can't rule out luck yet.

Rank by

Active period

Ranked by X-Ray score in Politics, among wallets active this week: the chance the edge is real, not luck. Click a row to see its luck zone. By the score's own odds, about 11 of the 17 shown have no real edge: their results come down to luck.

The score covers the wallet's whole record, whatever the period. Profit uses the period. Profit is Polymarket's own figure for this period; it moves with open positions' prices.

#Trader

Score in Politics ↓ i

Edge

Profit · 7 days i

Watch out for

Luck zone

Showing 17 of 17 scored Politics wallets

Showing 10 of 17 scored Politics wallets

smellyEllie

0x38f50488b14a87769e0c5cd6c514b6c2e8ec6824

Event bettor

Too close to call in Politics

Solid evidence · 525 events · 487 independent · 23 months

Edge vs the luck zoneat least +0.5¢ per $1, likely +8.2¢

luck zonethis wallet

Shaded: where 95% of no-edge records stay

Beats the prices by 12.7¢ per $1, which could still be luck, and 5 events made 57% of the profit, so the results sit inside the luck zone.

What moves it: ~594 more days at this pace to reach Edge emerging

The edge came from selling before markets resolved; held to the end, these positions lost 1.8¢ per $1

Score in each category

Politics (this list)51 · Too close to call

Culture47 · Too close to call

Tech47 · Too close to call

Mentions44 · Too close to call

Sports29 · No edge yet

Esports27 · No edge yet

Crypto18 · No edge yet

EconomicsToo early to tell

FinanceToo early to tell

WeatherToo early to tell

Overall64 · Edge emerging

Medium risk: −25% drawdown on capital.

Open the full X-RayCompare

Hot this week, too early to tell

Big moves on short records, sorted by profit. Not ranked until the record is long enough to judge.

Fewer than 30 markets so far.

eventalpha26Too early

Fewer than 30 markets so far.

88888x88888Too early

Fewer than 30 markets so far.

sumoliveToo early

Fewer than 30 markets so far.

dromedaryyToo early

Needs 10 more finished events, 5 more settle days and 10 more independent events.

franciscojr2025Too early

Fewer than 30 markets so far.

lava-lavaNot scored yet

Waiting for its first scan.

Fewer than 30 markets so far.